Derrius Guice


derrius guice graph.PNG

By: Willie Lovato


THE PROS:

  • Rare strength/speed combination
  • Great balance
  • Ability to find the crease in traffic
  • Violent runner
  •  Ability to make the first tackler miss
  • Ability to create yards after contact
  • Impressive lateral quickness
  • Workhorse

Rare strength/speed combination - It's not common that a guy with such a reputation for his bruising running style possesses big-play speed to match when he gets into the open field...Guice has both.

 Guice gets around the corner and hits the boosters on this play

Guice gets around the corner and hits the boosters on this play

Great balance - Guice is able to create yards after contact in large part to his balance. He is able to maintain his balance through arm tackles and pick up yards after contact

 Guice makes this tackler miss five yards behind the line of scrimmage, maintains his balance and finishes strong for a nine yard gain.

Guice makes this tackler miss five yards behind the line of scrimmage, maintains his balance and finishes strong for a nine yard gain.

Ability to find the crease in traffic - The LSU Tigers averaged 20 more rushing attempts per game than passing attempts in 2017. Due to the lack of a prolific passing offense, Guice had to routinely find small creases in the defense to pick up yardage. 

 Guice shows off his patience to start this run. Waits for the small lane and bursts through it. Also shows off his strength by picking up an additional three yards after contact resulting in a first down.

Guice shows off his patience to start this run. Waits for the small lane and bursts through it. Also shows off his strength by picking up an additional three yards after contact resulting in a first down.

Yards after contact - Pick any game you want to start your film study on him, rarely does Guice go down at the first point of contact. His power and ability to keep his legs churning allows him to create positive yardage in negative situations.

 Once again, an extra four to five yards after initial contact may not seem like something to brag about, but those yards add up quickly for Guice, who does this routinely.

Once again, an extra four to five yards after initial contact may not seem like something to brag about, but those yards add up quickly for Guice, who does this routinely.

Lateral quickness - Although he can be labeled as a downhill runner, Guice also has the ability to put his foot in the ground and change direction when needed.

 This two-yard run is just as impressive as a highlight reel run. Look closely at the two unblocked defenders staring at Guice as he receives the hand-off. His ability to change direction so fast that both guys are tackling air is highlight worthy.

This two-yard run is just as impressive as a highlight reel run. Look closely at the two unblocked defenders staring at Guice as he receives the hand-off. His ability to change direction so fast that both guys are tackling air is highlight worthy.

 

The CONS:

  • Lack of receiving production
  • Injury concerns

Lack of receiving production - The offense he played in leaves us with questions about his ability to contribute on third down. The same questions were there with former LSU running back Leonard Fournette who was able to haul in 36 passes in his rookie year, just five receptions fewer than his three year total at LSU. Like Fournette, Guice has the skill-set to contribute as a receiver out of the backfield. 

Injury concerns - Guice was limited in a handful of games in 2017 due to multiple injuries that seemed to keep him banged up all season. This has raised questions about weather he will be able to stay healthy if given a big workload. His 2016 tape shows a healthy Derrius Guice, I advice you watch it.

Summary: 

Guice will be an immediate two-down and short-yardage workhorse on the next level. He is a 212-218 pound running back with power of a 230 pound back that can run in the 4.4 range.

I believe that Guice's speed and ability to make defenders miss in the open field will earn him some easy dump-off and screens passes early on on the next level with the chance of turning into a legitimate receiving threat out of the backfield.

If he can become a legitimate receiving threat out of the backfield, his upside is sky-high. Even in a deep running back class, I'd be shocked if Guice made it out of the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft.

Fantasy Impact:

Most people have Guice locked into the 1.02 slot in dynasty rookie rankings, and I completely agree. Guice has proven he can handle a heavy workload and has the skill-set to be a starter from day one.

He has the combination of power, speed, and vison to dominate on the next level. The drop off in value starts at the 1.03 after Barkley and Guice.